SINGAPORE: Shigeru Ishiba, who became Japan’s new prime minister on Tuesday (Oct 1), surprised many with his proposal of an Asian NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) in a commentary penned for the Hudson Institute in September.
In his words, "Ukraine today is Asia tomorrow". Mr Ishiba drew parallels between the actions of China to those of Russia, as well as between Taiwan and Ukraine. In his view, the "absence of a collective self-defence system like NATO in Asia means that wars are likely to break out because there is no obligation for mutual defence".
Would an Asian NATO help to safeguard and preserve the peace and stability of the region, or would it result in escalating tensions?
WHY ASIAN NATO IS GOOD FOR JAPANIt is not difficult to see why an Asian NATO appeals to Japan – it would serve Japanese defence requirements well.
The Japanese Constitution, particularly Article 9, permits only the use of minimum necessary force to defend the territory and population of Japan, and not others. Its military after World War II is known as the Self-Defense Forces. In the event of conflict in the region, Japan cannot be involved unless its own territory and citizens are under risk of being attacked.
The only other instance Japan can resort to military force to defend others is if its ally - the United States - was being attacked. Given that this is very unlikely, Tokyo's hands are essentially tied by its own Constitution - which was written by the United States no less.
Japan has effectively no ability to act preemptively, including possessing a first-strike capability if it feels it is being threatened.
Having an Asian NATO arrangement, however, would allow the Japanese greater leeway to be involved in other Asian geopolitical hotspots without contravening its own Constitution. In short, Tokyo could be in greater control of its own destiny without being overly dependent on Washington's agenda or priorities.
HOW NATO WORKS IN EUROPEOf course, any assessment of an Asian NATO needs to appreciate how NATO works in Europe.
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Commentary: Why is NATO expanding its reach to the Asia-Pacific? NATO’s emergence in 1949 marked the beginning of the Cold War, which was a dramatic change from how the US and the Soviet Union cooperated to defeat Nazi Germany in World War II. NATO’s first secretary-general Hastings Ismay famously said that NATO was created to "keep the Soviet Union out, the Americans in, and the Germans down".
As part of Washington’s containment policy, NATO worked not just to defend its member countries, but also to check the spread of communism.
Not everyone was convinced. Then French president Charles de Gaulle wanted more autonomy from the US, and withdrew France from NATO’s unified military command in 1966. While Paris returned to NATO in 2009, current French President Emmanuel Macron envisions a European military that is independent of the US.
At the end of the Cold War with the democratic revolutions in Eastern Europe in 1989 and the dissolution of the Soviet Union in 1991, many people felt that NATO’s anti-communist mission was redundant.
Curiously, NATO was able to reinvent itself to promote democracy and security even in the absence of an overwhelming Soviet threat, including military operations in the Balkans, the Middle East, South Asia and Africa.
Even so, there are still many doubters in Europecc7 online casino, who wonder whether the US can be trusted to live up to its NATO commitments – especially if Donald Trump becomes president again after the US election in November. The United Kingdom, which is an island nation like Japan, remains the most enthusiastic supporter of NATO.
Outgoing NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg (right) and incoming NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte make statements during a handover ceremony at NATO headquarters in Brussels, Belgium, on Oct 1, 2024. (AP Photo/Harry Nakos)